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Published Sun, May 09, 2010 04:40 AM
Modified Sun, May 09, 2010 03:08 PM

Raleigh area is poised to flourish

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- Washington correspondent

WASHINGTON -- The Raleigh metropolitan region got a little younger, a bit smarter and a lot more populous in the 2000s, but the median income fell amid the economic S-curves that repeatedly wracked the country in the past decade.

Still, a new report by the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C., labels Raleigh one of the country's "New Heartland" cities - a sort of new Middle America that is home to more families and to employees in the kinds of jobs that economists say are going to propel the United States in the coming years.

In its report, "The State of Metropolitan America," the Washington think tank crunched a variety of demographic data for the nation's largest 100 metropolitan areas. The Durham-Chapel Hill metro area was classified separately and not among the 100 biggest metropolitan areas. It was not included in the study.

The report concluded that nationally, the wage achievement gap between high- and low-wage workers widened even before the most recent recession hit. Low-wage workers saw their hourly earnings decline by 8 percent from 2000-2008, while high-wage workers saw their hourly earnings climb by 3 percent.

Raleigh was the second-fastest-growing metro region in the country, after Provo, Utah - but the largest among the nation's top 50 metropolitan areas.

"Clearly people see a lot of opportunity there, and an opportunity for a high quality of life," said Alan Berube, a senior fellow at Brookings and one of the report's authors.

And though the median income decreased by 6.5 percent, that was better than the national average, Berube said.

The Raleigh region saw a nearly 60 percent jump in the percentage of its nonwhite population, the eighth-largest increase in the country.

Still, Berube said, the community's racial and ethnic breakdown is largely a black-white divide, although Hispanics form a growing - and young - chunk of the populace.

The region is helped by the nearby Research Triangle Park and the metro area's technology niche and higher education opportunities. The challenge for local policymakers, Berube said, will be to build on Raleigh's success.

"Growing their capacity in that regard and hanging on to some of the talent that goes through some of the universities from abroad to create economic value in that region," he said, "there's big potential there."

bbarrett@mcclatchydc.com or 202-383-0012

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Raleigh-Cary, N.C. metro area

Population and Migration

Total population: 1,088,765 (2009)

Growth: 35.4 percent (ranked 2nd among top 100 metro areas)

Domestic migration rate: 20.9 percent (ranked 3rd among top 100 metro areas)

Other high-growth cities: Provo, Utah; Austin, Texas; Las Vegas

Race and Ethnicity

Percent of population that is nonwhite: 34.5 percent (ranked 41st)

Percent growth in nonwhite population: 58.8 percent (ranked 8th)

Increase in nonwhite share of population: 4.9 percent (ranked 25th)

Immigration

Foreign-born population: 10.8 percent (ranked 41st)

Increase in foreign-born population, 2000-2008: 68.7 percent (ranked 9th)

Age and families

Increase in married-with-children households: 29.3 percent (ranked 3rd)

Increase in under-18 population, 2000-2008: 41.3 percent (ranked 3rd)

Other areas with high growth rates in number of children: Cape Coral, Fla.; Provo, Utah; Phoenix.

Increase in "pre-senior" population, ages 55 to 64, 2000-2008: 89.4 percent (ranked 1st)

Rate of growth in number of senior citizens, 2000-2008: 38.6 percent

Other metros with high increases in "pre-senior" population: Atlanta; Boise, Idaho; Portland, Ore.

Education

Percent of population age 25 and over with bachelor's degree: 41.5 percent (ranked 6th)

Increase in percentage of population with bachelor's degree, 2000-2008: 3.9 percent (ranked 33rd)

Other metros with similar levels of education: Bridgeport, Conn.; San Francisco; Boston; Madison, Wis.

Work

Decrease in wage for low-wage workers, 2000-2008: -11.3 percent

Decrease in wage for middle-wage workers, 2000-2008: -1.5 percent

Increase in wage for high-wage workers, 2000-2008: 3.4 percent

Income and Poverty

Median household income: $62,543

Decrease in median household income, 2000-2008: -6.5 percent (ranked 72nd)

Community

Commuters who drive alone: 80.1 percent (ranked 45th)

Commuters who use public transit: 1.1 percent (ranked 76th)

Increase in commuters who use public transit, 2000-2008: 62 percent (ranked 13th)

Source: The Brookings Institution


What is a 'New

What is a 'New Heartland' metro area?

Such areas are fast growing, highly educated locales, but have lower shares of Hispanic and Asian populations than the national average. These 19 metro areas include many in the "New South" where African-Americans are the dominant minority group, such as Atlanta, Charlotte, and Richmond, as well as largely white metro areas throughout the Midwest and West, such as Indianapolis, Kansas City, and Portland, Ore. The service-based economies of these metro areas attracted many middle-class migrants, both white and black, during the 2000s. That diverse in-migration has given the New Heartland areas a more racially equitable educational profile than other metropolitan types.

Who else?

New Heartland metro areas include Atlanta; Charleston, S.C.; Charlotte; Colorado Springs, Colo.; Columbia, S.C.; Columbus, Ohio; Des Moines, Iowa; Indianapolis; Kansas City, Mo.-Kan.; Knoxville, Tenn.; Madison, Wis.; Minneapolis-St. Paul; Nashville, Tenn.; Omaha, Neb.-Iowa; Portland-Vancouver, Ore.-Wash.; Provo, Utah; Richmond, Va.; and Salt Lake City.

Source: The Brookings Institution


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