UPDATED Two new polls show U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan and Republican challenger Thom Tillis neck and neck.
A poll in North Carolina, taken by a Washington polling firm for Democratic candidates, shows Hagan leading Tillis 48 percent to 45 percent. That’s within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but shows some gain on her behalf.
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group surveyed 802 people who voted in 2010 or 2012 or registered to vote since the 2012 election. The last time the group took a poll in the state the race was a dead heat, 44 percent to 44 percent in June.
The new poll shows Hagan, the Democratic incumbent, leads among women with 52 percent compared to Tillis with 41 percent. It also found that when asked if Tillis “went too far in cutting education as speaker of the (state) House,” 52 percent said he did, and 28 percent said that was not true.
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Meanwhile, the Tillis campaign's internal polling, in a report dated Monday, shows Tillis and Hagan are tied at 44 percent to 44 percent, with 8 percent for Libertarian Sean Haugh and 4 percent undecided.
That's a gain for Tillis, who trailed Hagan 41 percent to 44 percent with 9 percent for Haugh in May after the primary, according to the Republican polling. The margin of error there is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
That poll showed that if Haugh drops out, Tillis stands to gain, because 60 percent of Haugh's supporters disapprove of President Barack Obama.
Still another poll, from The New York Times, CBS News and YouGov on Sunday, shows Tillis at 41 percent, Hagan at 39 percent.