Under the Dome

January 23, 2014

Sabato moves Hagan’s seat into “toss up” category

Larry Sabato, the director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, now says Sen. Kay Hagan’s seat no longer “leans Democratic.” But he cautions the state’s GOP that their apparent frontrunner isn’t a shoe-in.

One prominent campaign watcher has change his opinion about North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race yet again.

Larry Sabato, the director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, now says Sen. Kay Hagan’s seat is a toss up. Dome notes that back in October, Sabato changed his designation of the seat from “toss up” to “leans Democratic.” In returning the seat to a coin flip, he cites the problems with the rollout of the Affordable Care Act and notes polls that have her “narrowly trailing” House Speaker Thom Tillis and a slipping approval rating.

Sabato, however, says that Republicans shouldn’t rest easy, noting “Tillis leads the unpopular state legislature, and there are several other lesser-known Republicans in the race who could potentially cause them general election headaches.”

Read more of his analysis here.

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Under the Dome is your inside source on North Carolina politics and government and has been a regular feature in The N&O since 1934. Check here for the latest on state and federal government, political advocacy and upcoming elections. This blog is maintained by the N&O politics staff.

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