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Published Fri, Nov 06, 2009 02:00 AM
Modified Thu, Nov 05, 2009 11:15 PM

Abbas' reluctance adds new wrinkle

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- The Associated Press

RAMALLAH, West Bank -- By announcing he doesn't want another term in office, embattled Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas pushed the Mideast peace effort into unknown territory Thursday, opening the way to a succession battle that could play into the hands of his rival, the militant group Hamas.

But it also could boost the prospects of a popular candidate who reportedly wants to run for the presidency from his Israeli prison cell.

Abbas blamed his decision on the stalemate in peace talks, but the wording of his televised speech raised speculation that it was not final and could be a tactic for pushing Israel and the U.S. toward a larger compromise.

He said only that it was his "desire not to run in the upcoming elections," which are set for January but could be delayed, extending his current term indefinitely.

Abbas took over after the death of Yasser Arafat in 2004, and Western leaders have come to see him as a symbol of moderation. Although criticized as indecisive and associated with the corruption-tainted old guard of his Fatah party, he has given free rein to his prime minister, Salam Fayyad, to reform the West Bank's economy and boost its police, resulting in a limited economic upturn.

But the stalemate with Israel overshadows all, and Fatah activists say the party is in a panic, fearing a fragmented slate of candidates that would hand victory to Hamas.

Late last month, Abbas told U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton that he would not run, but he recanted after President Barack Obama called him and expressed his commitment to Mideast peacemaking, Abbas' aides said.

Insiders say Abbas was disheartened by Washington's refusal to press Israel harder for a freeze on West Bank settlement construction, and that this week's visit by Clinton, when she appeared to side with Israel over the settlement issue, was the last straw.

Abbas has insisted that he won't resume negotiations until Israel stops all construction.

If he were to concede on that issue, Fatah could lose the election. If that happened, the international community would have no one to deal with but Hamas, which denies Israel's right to exist and rejects the two-state solution endorsed by Fatah.

Hamas spokesman Taher Nunu said he doesn't believe Abbas really means to step down. "His speech wasn't for the Palestinians alone," he said. "It was for the United States and the international community, so they will give him more support in the elections."

After Abbas' speech, Clinton praised his leadership in working toward the creation of a Palestinian state next to Israel.

Speaking to reporters in Washington, she ignored a question about whether she would urge Abbas to stay on, saying only that she would go on working with him to advance peace.

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  • Abbas says he'd rather not run.
    AFP/Getty Images

The alternatives

Should Abbas step aside, possible candidates to replace him include:

Marwan Barghouti, 49, who was jailed for life in Israel in 2002 for his involvement in fatal Palestinian attacks.

Activists say Barghouti, the top West Bank Fatah official until his arrest, is determined to run from prison. Barghouti's incarceration could work both for and against him. It might be difficult for him to campaign from a jail cell, but his nomination could force his release.

Nasser al-Kidwa, 50, who has served as the Palestinian representative at the U.N. and is not linked with the corruption that bedevils the party. He is Yasser Arafat's nephew.

Mohammed Dahlan, 48, a one-time Fatah strongman in Gaza. He was recently elected to the top Fatah policymaking body, but he is blamed by many for losing Gaza to Hamas and is tainted by allegations of corruption.