News & Observer | newsobserver.com | State budgets dwindle as economy sours

Published: Mar 17, 2008 12:30 AM
Modified: Mar 17, 2008 02:42 AM

State budgets dwindle as economy sours

 

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IN NORTH CAROLINA

The state's tax collections are decreasing as the economic slowdown affects North Carolina. However, revenues were still running slightly ahead of projections in a Feb. 13 report from the Fiscal Research Division, a nonpartisan service for the legislature.

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Programs for the elderly are being slashed in Maine. Government jobs are being eliminated in New Jersey. Prison construction has been put off in Virginia. Some schools in California will end their music programs.

About half of the state legislatures nationwide are scrambling to plug gaps in their budgets, shot through by rapid declines in corporate and sales tax revenue, distressed housing markets and a national economy on the verge of a recession.

Many states are reporting their largest budget shortfalls since the recessions of 2001 and 1991-92. In some states where tax increases are generally anathema, including Maryland and Kentucky, governors are looking to raise some levies.

"It is not just the standard downturn where unemployment rises for a while, income tax and sales tax revenues are weak, and ultimately the economy recovers," said Iris Lav, the deputy director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal research group in Washington that tracks state budgets.

Lav pointed to a confluence of factors -- including weak consumer spending, high energy prices, dropping housing values and growing foreclosure rates -- that suggest states will face a protracted struggle to keep their budgets afloat. "This all will make it harder to recover," she said.

As of last week, at least 25 states were expecting budget shortfalls for the 2009 fiscal year, according to the budget center, findings that are consistent with other state roundups and an informal phone survey by The New York Times. It is the largest number since 2002, when in the aftermath of the 2001 recession 37 states were forced to cut their budgets.

Many of the states this year owe their problems to stark declines in tax revenues after an implosion in housing markets.

But not all is bleak. States that produce oil have are having a better time, as are states with strong agricultural economies, like Kansas, where revenues for the next fiscal year will increase 2.7 percent and financing for schools is going to be increased, officials said.

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