News & Observer | newsobserver.com | Survey finds more N.C. districts go for Obama

Published: Mar 10, 2008 12:30 AM
Modified: Mar 10, 2008 01:25 AM

Survey finds more N.C. districts go for Obama

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POLITICAL SCORECARD

DOWN: STATE REP. THOMAS E. WRIGHT. A House committee recommended that Wright, who is facing criminal corruption charges, should be expelled from the House. He would be the first legislator to be expelled in North Carolina since 1880.

DOWN: GOV. MIKE EASLEY. Easley went to great lengths to avoid answering questions about his administration's handling of mental health reform.

UP: PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS. With the Democratic presidential contest still up in the air, it increasingly looks as if North Carolina Democrats may get a say in the matter during the state's primary May 6.

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Congressional districts will play a key role in North Carolina's Democratic presidential primary May 6.

Two thirds of the state's pledged delegates -- a trove of 77 -- will be distributed to either Illinois Sen. Barack Obama or New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton based on the percentage of votes in the state's 13 congressional districts.

At Dome's request, Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling looked at the company's surveys, using area code as a proxy for congressional district. Here's a rough estimate of where each candidate is ahead, and the district representative:

CLINTON: 3rd (Republican Walter Jones), 5th (Republican Virginia Foxx), 10th (Republican Patrick McHenry), 11th (Democrat Heath Shuler).

OBAMA: 1st (Democrat G.K. Butterfield), 4th (Democrat David Price), 6th (Republican Howard Coble), 7th (Democrat Mike McIntyre), 8th (Republican Robin Hayes), 9th (Republican Sue Myrick), 12th (Democrat Mel Watt), 13th (Democrat Brad Miller).

TOSS-UP: 2nd (Democrat Bob Etheridge).

"Obama does very well in urban areas and more rural areas down east with strong black populations," Jensen wrote to Dome. "Clinton is strongest with the whiter 3rd District out east and in the western part of the state."

Here's how the rest of the state's 134 delegates will be divvied up:

38: Based on the voting percentage statewide.

17: Superdelegates, typically elected officials or members of the Democratic National Committee, who vote however they want. Three have committed to Obama and one to Clinton.

2: Elected at the state convention June 21. State party chairman Jerry Meek, who is neutral, will submit four names. The would-be delegates do not have to state which candidate they will support before the convention vote.

Union won't play favorites

The AFL-CIO will not endorse a candidate in the Democratic gubernatorial primary.

The state chapter of the labor federation invited all six candidates for governor to interviews, though only Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue and state Treasurer Richard Moore showed up.

After the interviews, the 70-plus members of the committee narrowly voted to endorse Perdue.

But the 32-member executive board, meeting Friday, did not reach the required two-thirds threshold for ratification.

"We made a decision that we should allow each of our affiliates to work for the candidate of their choice," chapter president James Andrews said. "The bottom line is that our membership was extremely pleased with both of these candidates."

Crane at Sunshine Week

Debbie Crane has been asked to be the luncheon speaker at the N.C. Open Government Coalition's Sunshine Week events at Elon University on March 20.

Rick Willis, News 14 Carolina's news director for its Raleigh newsroom, said Crane will speak on public records and access to public officials. Willis is a member of the coalition's board.

Crane, who was fired last week as public affairs director for the state Department of Health and Human Services, has shaken up the Capitol with her assertion that Gov. Mike Easley's press office had repeatedly told executive branch public information officers to kill e-mail messages after they sent them to the governor's office.

Easley's legal counsel said there's no evidence that happened, and public information officers have said they were unaware of such a directive.

Willis said he has invited the governor's office but is not seeking a debate.

'I'm highly disappointed in my colleagues. This rush to judgment from Day One is politically motivated, clearly. I am an elected official. I am their leader. How dare my colleagues sit in judgment and pass judgment on me.'

- State Rep. Thomas E. Wright, a Wilmington Democrat, after a House committee found that Wright had violated ethics rules in a series of political and private dealings

By staff writers Ryan Teague Beckwith, Dan Kane and Bill Krueger. ryan.teague.beckwith@newsobserver.com or (919) 836-4944

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