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With six months remaining to salvage his legacy, President Bush may hope to ease some of the stress on the slumping U.S. economy -- and help his party's prospective presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. -- by reducing tensions with Iran, which have helped drive world petroleum prices to record highs.
"The politics in the United States are important," noted Mohsen Sazegawa, a former Iranian deputy prime minister and a scholar who heads the U.S.-based Research Institute for Contemporary Iran.
Moreover, U.S. military and diplomatic leaders appear to have convinced Bush that the economic, political and security costs of a conflict with Iran over its nuclear program would be too high, and that the United States could use Iran's cooperation in stabilizing war-torn Iraq and Afghanistan.
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