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Looking at the new season
2006-07 RECORD: 15-16, 5-11, TIED FOR 10TH IN ACC - COACH: DINO GAUDIO (FIRST SEASON AT WAKE FOREST)
PLUS
* It's going to be an emotional and difficult season, but experience is beginning to work in Wake's favor again. Four likely starters averaged at least 18 minutes per game last season, and reserves David Weaver, Anthony Gurley and Cameron Stanley played enough to learn the ropes.
* At the point, Ishmael Smith is as quick as any player in the ACC and should have the bulk of the learning curve behind him. He was working the floor too hard to look for his shot most of last season. Still, he averaged 8.7 points per game and should be good for 12-15 this season.
MINUS
* The Deacons are still terribly undersized, and the graduation of 6-11 Kyle Visser only makes that problem more pronounced.
* Everyone has to shoot better. In ACC games last season, Harvey Hale shot 33.9 percent from the field, L.D. Williams 43.9 and Smith 35.3. That's a perfect storm of destruction.
BEST-CASE SCENARIO
A duplication of last season: 15 or so wins overall and maybe five or six in the conference.
WORST-CASE SCENARIO
The Deacons are one injury -- to Smith -- away from being in huge trouble, which equates to 10 to 12 overall wins and no more than three or so in the ACC.
REALISTIC SCENARIO
12 to 14 overall wins and 4-12 in the league. It'll help some that in the ACC, Nos. 6 through 12 could be relatively close, meaning the slightly hotter team on any given night could win at home.
The X factor
BIGGEST NEED
A strong post presence in the mold of Kyle Visser, who averaged 17 points and 7.4 rebounds last year.
WHO WILL FILL IT
Jamie Skeen, who has impressed new head coach Dino Gaudio in preseason practices.
FANTASY LEAGUE PICK
N.C. State's Ben McCauley, a strong scorer and deft passer.
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