News & Observer | newsobserver.com | Running game ready to blossom

Published: Nov 08, 2007 12:30 AM
Modified: Nov 08, 2007 03:06 AM

Running game ready to blossom

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Looking at the new season

2006-07 RECORD: 22-11, 8-8, TIED FOR SIXTH IN ACC - COACH: MIKE KRZYZEWSKI (28TH SEASON, 702-202 AT DUKE)

PLUS

* Guard-play rules college basketball, and the Blue Devils have good guards. Junior Greg Paulus, sophomore Jon Scheyer, senior DeMarcus Nelson, sophomore Gerald Henderson and junior Martynas Pocius return with freshman point guard Nolan Smith joining the mix. Freshmen Taylor King and Kyle Singler are listed as forwards but are comfortable on the perimeter.

* After relying on six or seven players for most of this decade, coach Mike Krzyzewski says he's ready to expand his rotation and go nine or 10 deep.

MINUS

* Josh McRoberts' early departure for the NBA leaves a significant hole in the middle.

* Two big men counted on to take McRoberts' minutes -- junior David McClure and sophomore Brian Zoubek -- had offseason surgeries and likely won't be completely healed until the second half of the season.

BEST-CASE SCENARIO

There are eight McDonald's All Americans on the roster, and the guard play is good enough to win 12 ACC games and give Krzyzewski a chance to coach this group to his 11th Final Four.

WORST-CASE SCENARIO

The perimeter game runs hot and cold, and the inside game is too big of a liability for the Devils to improve on last year's 8-8 ACC record.

REALISTIC SCENARIO

Just by playing better at home (4-4 in ACC games last season), Duke will win 10 ACC games and reclaim its place in the NCAA regional semifinals.

The X factor

BIGGEST NEED

Rebounding muscle inside. Duke didn't have one big body to do it last season and made do with forward Josh McRoberts, now in the NBA, and 6-foot-4 guard DeMarcus Nelson.

WHO WILL FILL IT

It won't be a beefy, Shelden Williams-type but a committee of athletic guards like Nelson and lanky big men like Kyle Singler, Lance Thomas, David McClure and Brian Zoubek.

FANTASY LEAGUE PICK

Clemson forward James Mays. Kentucky freshman forward Patrick Patterson might have filled the need, but he said he didn't feel comfortable with Duke's players on a recruiting visit

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DURHAM - It's the same message this season: The Duke Blue Devils want to run.

That didn't go as planned when Duke went 22-11 in 2006-07. And even with three freshmen, this team has a similar makeup.

So what has changed that makes the Blue Devils think they can play uptempo basketball?

Three things: They're healthy. They're more athletic. They're deep in the backcourt.

"We have more good players, and they're older and healthier," said coach Mike Krzyzewski, who is seeing competitive practices for the first time in a year.

Injuries to guards Greg Paulus, Martynas Pocius and Gerald Henderson slowed Duke last year, but all three are healthy. Paulus and Henderson have played quicker, with Henderson rising well, in exhibition games.

Duke added athleticism with freshman guard Nolan Smith and freshman forward Kyle Singler to go with Henderson and senior DeMarcus Nelson. All four run, and Singler, at 6 feet 8, plays fluidly near the hoop to draw fouls.

Also, six of Duke's seven guards are expected to contribute.

Smith plays aggressively in the open court. Paulus and freshman Taylor King are the best threats to make 3-pointers on the break. Nelson is the best rebounder, but Henderson and Jon Scheyer also keep moving on the glass, tipping passes, grabbing loose balls, and forcing turnovers.

Still, Duke's fast break will falter, like it did last season, if the Devils don't disrupt the opponent's ballhandlers. Smith and Paulus must push teams away from the hoop and key the break.

Turnovers are key, but it shouldn't matter who directs the break. The team wants to stay fluid, so every guard must handle the ball in transition. Paulus, Smith, Nelson, Henderson and Scheyer all can do that.

The Devils are salivating at the thought of running instead of executing halfcourt plays, a habit from the J.J. Redick era that lingered last season.

"I feel very confident I can be that guy and how the team will set me up," Henderson said. "But most of our guys feel that way. ... Hopefully it will be a lot of fun."

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