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Looking at the new season
2006-07 RECORD: 22-11, 8-8, TIED FOR SIXTH IN ACC - COACH: MIKE KRZYZEWSKI (28TH SEASON, 702-202 AT DUKE)
PLUS
* Guard-play rules college basketball, and the Blue Devils have good guards. Junior Greg Paulus, sophomore Jon Scheyer, senior DeMarcus Nelson, sophomore Gerald Henderson and junior Martynas Pocius return with freshman point guard Nolan Smith joining the mix. Freshmen Taylor King and Kyle Singler are listed as forwards but are comfortable on the perimeter.
* After relying on six or seven players for most of this decade, coach Mike Krzyzewski says he's ready to expand his rotation and go nine or 10 deep.
MINUS
* Josh McRoberts' early departure for the NBA leaves a significant hole in the middle.
* Two big men counted on to take McRoberts' minutes -- junior David McClure and sophomore Brian Zoubek -- had offseason surgeries and likely won't be completely healed until the second half of the season.
BEST-CASE SCENARIO
There are eight McDonald's All Americans on the roster, and the guard play is good enough to win 12 ACC games and give Krzyzewski a chance to coach this group to his 11th Final Four.
WORST-CASE SCENARIO
The perimeter game runs hot and cold, and the inside game is too big of a liability for the Devils to improve on last year's 8-8 ACC record.
REALISTIC SCENARIO
Just by playing better at home (4-4 in ACC games last season), Duke will win 10 ACC games and reclaim its place in the NCAA regional semifinals.
The X factor
BIGGEST NEED
Rebounding muscle inside. Duke didn't have one big body to do it last season and made do with forward Josh McRoberts, now in the NBA, and 6-foot-4 guard DeMarcus Nelson.
WHO WILL FILL IT
It won't be a beefy, Shelden Williams-type but a committee of athletic guards like Nelson and lanky big men like Kyle Singler, Lance Thomas, David McClure and Brian Zoubek.
FANTASY LEAGUE PICK
Clemson forward James Mays. Kentucky freshman forward Patrick Patterson might have filled the need, but he said he didn't feel comfortable with Duke's players on a recruiting visit
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