When will Raleigh and Durham feel the impact of Michael? Here’s the Thursday breakdown.

When will Tropical Storm Michael leave the Triangle?

Check out the ABC11 forecast to see when the last of Hurricane and now-Tropical Storm Michael will leave the Triangle area of NC behind.
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Check out the ABC11 forecast to see when the last of Hurricane and now-Tropical Storm Michael will leave the Triangle area of NC behind.

Don “Big Weather” Schwenneker of ABC11, our news partner, tells us what Triangle residents can expect throughout the day Thursday as Tropical Storm Michael moves through the area.

9:45 a.m. to noon

We’re already seeing rain spread south and southwest of Wake County. They’re seeing showers now (about 9:45 a.m.) over in Holly Springs, Fuquay-Varina and southern Apex.

Those will continue to spread north across the Triangle over the next two to three hours. You’ll see these pockets of rain moving through. Winds are starting to pick up as well.

Lunch time

When we went on the air at 4 a.m. we saw wind gusts less than 10 mph. We’re seeing gusts now at in the 20 mph range. We’ve seen wind gusts up around 30 mph in Fayetteville. The highest one we’ve seen out of RDU is 25 mph. We’ll see those getting up in the 50 mph range through midday and into the early afternoon.

The highest winds are still off to our south and west. You could see those winds go down in the 10 to 15 mph range and then pick up on the backside of it as it passes through. Wind gusts this afternoon in Raleigh between noon and 2 p.m. could go up 35 to 40 mph.

Crabtree Valley Mall has closed off lower-level parking in anticipation of rising waters as Tropical Storm Michael moves into the Triangle on Thursday, Oct. 11, 2018.

Afternoon commute

It looks like the remnants of the eye can move right across us through the afternoon. As it does, the winds might die down a little bit. And on the backside of the storm, they’ll pick up again.

I still like Raleigh for 2 to 4 inches of rain, maybe a little more. The highest quadrant of rain now is north and west of downtown Raleigh and the Triangle—the I-85 corridor. As it goes through southern Granville, Vance and Durham counties, those areas could pick up 4 to 5 inches of rain or more. If the eye continues on the current path, the winds could die down between 4 p.m. and 7 p.m. The rain will be heavy at times into the afternoon. We see the heavier rain through 3 p.m. to 4 p.m. By 6 p.m. the rain could die down.

North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper warns of flooding and the danger of high winds across the state as the remnants of Hurricane Michael move through the area Friday, Oct. 11, 2018.

6 p.m to 9 p.m.

At 7 or 8 p.m. winds could go up to 40 mph and possibly 50 mph. The rain picks up a little bit from 7 p.m. to 9 p.m. As we get past 9 p.m., the rain will die out.

10 p.m. to Friday morning

The storm will be out of Raleigh between 10 p.m. to midnight. We could see gusts of 40 mph all the way through midnight. Even as the rain is gone, we can see wind gusts of 30 mph through the night and into Friday morning. Winds could still be in the 20 mph range through mid-morning on Friday. They’ll die down in the afternoon.

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