(This story was updated at 1 p.m. Tuesday.)
Hurricane Michael is a Category 2 hurricane and and should reach Category 3 by the time it makes landfall Wednesday and begins a predicted trek toward the Carolinas, says the National Hurricane Center.
The storm’s sustained winds were 110 mph as of 11 a.m. Tuesday. A Category 3 Hurricane has winds in the 111 to 129 mph range. “Additional strengthening is expected, and Michael is forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall,” said an update from the National Hurricane Center. “Weakening is expected after landfall as Michael moves through the southeastern United States.”
The storm is predicted to hit Florida somewhere between Panama City and Tallahassee, reports CNN. It will bring life-threatening flash flooding to the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region of the state, says the hurricane center.
Winds of 50 to 70 mph will be felt in parts of the Carolinas as early as 8 p.m. Wednesday, and there is a potential for “dangerous rainfall flooding” and tornadoes, the National Hurricane Center says.
Potential rainfall predictions for the Carolinas remain in the 4 to 6 inch range, says the center.
Coastal counties in North Carolina -- all of them still recovering from Hurricane Florence -- have started bracing for yet another round of potential flash floods.
Brunswick County on Tuesday issued a volunaty evacuation order
“I know you do not want to hear this or even look at this update, but please start making preparations for a tropical event to hit the area around Thursday and Friday,” said a warning issued Monday by the Pender County Emergency Management.
In an interview with the Wilmington Star News, Tom Collins of Pender County Emergency Management warned Hurricane Michael will bring “more damage and more debris,” and shelters may have to be reopened.
“If you haven’t got trees cut around your home, get them cut now if they are leaning,” he told the Star News. “What trees haven’t fallen will probably fall. The river is still pretty high, so it will probably rise back up some as well.”
The Cape Fear Region expects flooding yet again due in part to the ground still being saturated from flooding from Florence last month, National Weather Service meteorologist Kathleen Carroll told the Fayetteville Observer.
“We’ll see some rising ... particularly the Cape Fear and the Neuse (rivers) again,” Carroll was quoted telling the Fayetteville Observer. “Minor to moderate flooding is the thinking at this time. Still, it’s not expected to be as bad considering it will be quick hitting.”
Since Sunday, the forecast has projected the storm to make landfall in the Florida Panhandle and turn northeast through southern Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas.
But timing predictions have wavered as Michael is expected to sweep across the Southeast at 23-34 mph, said the 11 p.m. Monday forecast discussion.
While the European model projections have the storm slowing over North Carolina, the American model “quickly ejects the system northeastward and off the coast,” the National Weather Center’s Raleigh office wrote in its 10 p.m. Monday update.
“Our rivers can handle and inch or two of (rainfall) that the GFS is producing, while 6 or more inches of rain that the ECMWF is suggesting would likely result in some renewed river flooding,” the update said.
The storm is moving northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico at 12 mph.
Hurricane force winds are extending out 35 miles from the center of Hurricane Michael and tropical-storm-force winds (39-73 mph) are being felt 185 miles from the center, says the National Hurricane Center.
“Heavy rainfall from Michael could produce life-threatening flash flooding from the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region into portions of Georgia and South Carolina,” the forecast discussion said.