Fantasy Baseball Week 11 Winners and Losers: Paredes Heats Up, Martinez Is the Season's Most Overlooked Bat

Some weeks give you a clean story. This week gave us a third baseman quietly playing like an MVP candidate, a fifth starter who has not allowed an earned run in two weeks, a former Cy Young winner posting an ERA that would make a better SAT score and a wild first-ever game in the City of Sin. Pour yourself something and let's sort the heroes from the wreckage.

Winners

Matt Chapman, 3B, San Francisco Giants

A 313 wRC+ over nine games is the kind of number that makes you check whether the decimal point landed in the wrong place, and it did not. Chapman hit .517 with four homers and sixteen RBI, posting a .579 OBP next to a 1.000 slugging percentage, the offensive equivalent of a player simply declining to make outs for a week. What separates this from a heater that burns off by Tuesday is the .626 xwOBA sitting right alongside the actual .626 wOBA, two numbers in perfect agreement that the contact quality was every bit as loud as the box score. Chapman has spent a couple of seasons quietly being the "didn't he used to be good" guy in deeper leagues, the name you scroll past on the waiver wire because it sounds like it belongs to 2022. He was never not good. He was just waiting for a week loud enough that nobody could keep pretending otherwise, and this was that week, arriving with receipts attached.

Drew Rasmussen, SP, Tampa Bay Rays

Fourteen innings, zero earned runs, zero home runs, a 14.14 K/9 against a 0.64 BB/9, and an ERA that reads 0.00 because it is, in fact, 0.00. Normally a number that clean comes with a "but," and here it is: the xFIP is 0.39, which means the model looked at the same 14 innings and shrugged in agreement rather than rolling its eyes the way it usually does at anyone posting a zero. Nothing holds at a 100 percent strand rate forever, strand rates are not a personality trait, but a strikeout rate this high paired with almost no free passes and zero balls clearing the fence is not the profile of a man riding luck, it is the profile of a pitcher who quietly leveled up while the rotation's bigger, louder names soaked up the headlines around him. If Rasmussen is still sitting on your league's waiver wire because the name doesn't have that ace-y ring to it, that is a you problem now, not a him problem, and it is a fixable one if you act before Wednesday.

Pete Crow-Armstrong, CF, Chicago Cubs

Four homers, eight runs, five RBI, three steals, and a .458 on-base percentage, the kind of week where a player checks every box on the fantasy stat sheet inside nine games rather than spreading the boxes out over a month like a normal, well-adjusted hitter. The tidy part is the alignment underneath it all: a .538 xwOBA sitting on top of an actual .538 wOBA, matched to the thousandth decimal, as close to a notarized confirmation as Statcast offers that none of this was borrowed against next week's production. Power, speed, and patience all showed up to the same party, all stayed past midnight, and none of them snuck out early to avoid the bill. If this is the version of PCA who shows up from here on out, the rest of the league has a problem, and it is not a problem anyone in Chicago is going to apologize for.

Jackson Chourio, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

Six home runs in nine games is the type of number that arrives with its own built-in asterisk, the kind your eye catches and immediately starts looking for the small print, and Chourio's .507 xwOBA sitting well under his .822 actual wOBA confirms the asterisk is earned, some real chunk of this is going to come back to earth in the coming weeks. But discount it generously, take a real haircut off the top, and you're still left with an 11-run, 13-RBI week and a .444 ISO, which is to say even the regressed, sensible, no-asterisk version of this week would still be one of the best weeks anybody in baseball had. The Brewers' lineup has been quietly excellent for a while now, the kind of unit that wins a lot of one-run games without anyone outside Milwaukee noticing. This was Chourio reminding the league, in the loudest possible terms, that he's part of that conversation too.

Losers

Spencer Strider, SP, Atlanta Braves

Two starts, eight innings, 11 earned runs, an 11.25 ERA next to a 7.98 FIP, two numbers that for once are not arguing with each other, they're just standing shoulder to shoulder agreeing the outing was bad, actually bad, not unlucky bad. A 3.38 BB/9 stacked with a 3.38 HR/9 is a particularly unkind combination of digits, since it means the traffic Strider allows on the bases has a nasty habit of arriving home shortly after boarding. An 18.8 percent HR/FB rate over this stretch means "rust" needs an asterisk of its own at this point, rust explains one bad start in April, not a matched, coordinated pair of them in June. The strikeout rate, still a healthy 6.75 per nine, is the one thread left to tug on if you're holding and hoping, and holding and hoping is a strategy, just not usually a winning one. Bench him and watch the next outing like it's a referendum, because at this point, with this sample, it basically is one.

Rhys Hoskins, 1B, Cleveland Guardians

A 32.1 percent strikeout rate and an .083 average combined for a .125 wOBA, the worst mark on this entire sheet by a comfortable margin, and a -0.3 WAR that more or less files the whole week under "did not happen, please disregard." The .228 xwOBA offers a small mercy, the only one available here: when Hoskins did make contact, it wasn't ugly, he just wasn't making it often enough for anyone to notice or care. Hoskins has been streaky his entire career, the kind of hitter who looks completely cooked for 10 days and then single-handedly wins your matchup the next 10 without warning. The real question here isn't really about Hoskins' bat, which everyone has seen before and will see again. It's whether Cleveland's patience, and your roster spot, holds long enough for the bat to catch back up to the talent everyone knows is still in there.

Nico Hoerner, 2B, Chicago Cubs

Zero homers, one RBI, zero runs scored, across nine full games, the kind of stat line that makes you double-check the schedule to confirm Hoerner actually played in all of them and wasn't just listed in the lineup as a formality. A .147 wOBA and -0.3 WAR are rough on their own merits, genuinely rough, but here's the silver lining hiding in plain sight if you squint: a .289 xwOBA sitting nearly a hundred points above the actual result, a textbook definition of "the contact was fine, the luck simply wasn't." Line drives found gloves they had no business finding. Balls that should've found grass instead found leather. If your league allows it, this is the week to buy low on a player whose actual problem, when you look under the hood, was simply bad timing wearing a bad week's costume.

Mike Trout, DH, Los Angeles Angels

The strikeouts are again the headline, which at this point in the season is itself the story, the headline writing itself before the game even ends: 35.1 percent over eight games, a .125 average, and a .196 wOBA that ranks near the bottom of the entire league this week, not just among DHs, the entire league. The .292 xwOBA is the lone bright spot in an otherwise dim picture, suggesting that on the rare occasions Trout did connect, the quality was closer to the player everyone remembers than the surface numbers want to admit out loud. But a corner bat striking out in better than one of every three trips to the plate while managing a single home run is exactly the kind of week that quietly torpedoes a roster's batting average from below the surface, the damage showing up days later in the standings long after the box scores themselves have been forgotten and filed away.

One More Thing

Las Vegas markets itself as the Entertainment Capital of the World, and on June 8 the Athletics' first regular-season home game in Southern Nevada delivered on that slogan whether the home team and its brand-new fanbase wanted it to or not. The Brewers and A's combined for a 15-14 final across 12 innings, 11 home runs, and 34 hits, the 18th time that exact score has happened in major league history and instantly, by a comfortable margin, the highest-scoring game of the season. Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom each went deep twice for Oakland's still-nomadic, still-searching-for-a-home franchise, Andrew Vaughn drove in four for Milwaukee on his own, and Brewers manager Pat Murphy, a man who has presumably seen a great many things across eleven years in dugouts, called it the strangest game of his entire career, full stop, no qualifiers. Kyle Harrison's ERA jumped from a tidy 1.57 to 2.72 in a single outing, which by itself tells you everything you need to know about how the ball was carrying at 3,000 feet of desert elevation with the air conditioning apparently still being installed.

Questions About Fantasy Baseball Winners & Losers, Answered

Who were the biggest winners in fantasy baseball this week 2026?

Matt Chapman (313 wRC+, four homers, sixteen RBI), Drew Rasmussen (two starts, zero earned runs, 0.39 xFIP), Pete Crow-Armstrong (252 wRC+ with matching expected stats), and Jackson Chourio (six homers in nine games) headlined the week.

Which players were the biggest losers in fantasy baseball this week?

Spencer Strider (11.25 ERA across two starts), Rhys Hoskins (.125 wOBA), Nico Hoerner (zero homers and one RBI over nine games), and Mike Trout (35.1 percent strikeout rate) were the marquee disappointments.

Is Drew Rasmussen for real, or is this a hot streak that regresses?

The xFIP of 0.39 across fourteen innings says the underlying performance matches the gaudy ERA, so this is a name to add now rather than wait out.

Should I be worried about Spencer Strider long-term?

The FIP and home run rate suggest this is more than bad luck, so bench him for now and watch for a change in approach before trusting him again.

Should I drop any of this week's losers among hitters?

No, Hoskins, Hoerner, and Trout are all far too talented to bench over one bad week, and Hoerner in particular has expected stats that suggest this was simply misfortune.

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This story was originally published June 14, 2026 at 12:09 PM.