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More storms possible in the Triangle after rain dumps inches during drought

Key Takeaways
Key Takeaways

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  • Heavy rains in parts of the Triangle provided short-term relief from the ongoing drought.
  • Nine counties, including parts of Wake, Durham and Orange, are in exceptional drought.
  • Reservoirs must refill and rain upstream of reservoirs is needed to boost supplies.

Buckets of rain poured on parts of the state this week, including in the Triangle, providing short-term relief to an intense holiday heat wave and long-term drought.

More rain is in the Triangle’s future, but local experts say it’s not enough to get the area out of the drought.

“Still a lot of locations struggling with water, and we’ll continue to because just a few days of rainfall over several weeks and months to really come out of this,” said Barrett Smith, a senior service hydrologist with the National Weather Service said in a media briefing Thursday, July 9. “Happy to see the rain, and we’ll continue to take whatever we can get. But we continue to seeing significant impacts from this ongoing drought.”

Parts of northern Wake County, Durham and Orange counties saw 4-5 inches of rain, while other southern portions of the Triangle saw barely a half-inch. On Wednesday, July 8, there were reports of hail in Clayton, Cary and Holly Springs, among others.

Rain is less likely than it has been this week on Thursday, July 9, and Friday, but it will remain warm until a cold front brings possible thunderstorms and cooler temperatures to central North Carolina.

Scattered thunderstorms are forecasted in the area, especially in the afternoon and evening, Smith said, with most areas expecting less than a quarter-inch of rain but some places could see another inch.

Cracked mud covers acres of what is normally the lake bottom at Falls Lake in Durham on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Raleigh is 18.59 inches below its average rainfall since August 2025, and Falls Lake, Raleigh's primary water source, is 5 feet below its target level. As of mid-June, Durham was about 10 to 12 inches below normal rainfall since the start of the year.
Cracked mud covers acres of what is normally the lake bottom at Falls Lake in Durham on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Raleigh is 18.59 inches below its average rainfall since August 2025, and Falls Lake, Raleigh's primary water source, is 5 feet below its target level. As of mid-June, Durham was about 10 to 12 inches below normal rainfall since the start of the year. Travis Long tlong@newsobserver.com

Water restrictions in the Triangle

Holly Springs became the latest Triangle town to add water restrictions, joining Raleigh, Durham and Wake Forest, among others. And Raleigh leaders gave city staff greater authority to enact stricter regulations.

Those restrictions, stage 2, would effectively ban lawn watering except by certain water-efficient methods.

The council did that because stage 1 restrictions have not reduced water demand. In fact, water demand has gone up when compared to last year.

Raleigh Water Assistant Director Ed Buchan told the council that “If we start to see a downward trend in overall demand then we can leave that [trigger] at 45%.”

But if water demand doesn’t fall, the city wants the flexibility to restrict water usage even further, he said.

The day after significant rainfall doesn’t typically draw as much water because people aren’t watering their lawns, he said. It’s hot, dry days when people do so that puts strain on the city’s water resources.

A Double-crested cormorant dries its wings as anglers fish along the shoreline near Possum Track Road at Falls Lake in Wake County on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Raleigh is 18.59 inches below its average rainfall since August 2025, and Falls Lake, Raleigh's primary water source, is 5 feet below its target level. As of mid-June, Durham was about 10 to 12 inches below normal rainfall since the start of the year.
A Double-crested cormorant dries its wings as anglers fish along the shoreline near Possum Track Road at Falls Lake in Wake County on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Raleigh is 18.59 inches below its average rainfall since August 2025, and Falls Lake, Raleigh's primary water source, is 5 feet below its target level. As of mid-June, Durham was about 10 to 12 inches below normal rainfall since the start of the year. Travis Long tlong@newsobserver.com

North Carolina’s drought

But, in order to alleviate water restrictions, North Carolina not only needs more rain but for it to fall where it matters.

“Parts of the Triangle saw more than 4 inches of rain or more this past week, but to substantially improve our drinking water supplies, it has to rain upstream of the reservoirs,” said Linwood Peele, a supervisor with the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality Division of Water, in a news release. “It matters where the rain falls, and how fast it falls. The rain helped conditions here, but we need the lakes and reservoirs to fill back up, the groundwater and aquifers replenished and soil moisture restored.”

Nine counties, including parts of Wake, Durham and Orange counties, are in exceptional drought, the highest drought rating. About half of the state’s counties (46) are in extreme drought, and another 31 are in severe drought.

Streamflow, the flow of water in streams, and groundwater, the water that exists under the Earth’s surface, levels are both below normal or at record lows in parts of the state, according to the North Carolina Drought Management Advisory Council.

“It does help when we have rainfall like this, it helps because people don’t need to use as much water for irrigation or outdoor water use,” said Peele. “But to really help, we need those reservoirs to refill, and that will take time. We’re in a huge deficit.”

Reporter Nolan Wilkinson contributed to this report.

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This story was originally published July 9, 2026 at 4:06 PM.

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Anna Roman
The News & Observer
Anna Roman is a service journalism reporter for the News & Observer. She has previously covered city government, crime and business for newspapers across North Carolina and received many North Carolina Press Association awards, including first place for investigative reporting. 
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