Elections

Red, blue and purple counties: Here’s a look at NC voter registration data


North Carolina in red, blue and purple

What does it take to win NC? Throughout the state are swaths of deeply red rural counties; blue cities and urban, dense suburbs; and some areas that may be hard to predict heading into the Nov. 8 election. We disect six counties that symbolize this diversity, and bring you the facts on how elections work in our state.

Over 7.4 million North Carolinians are registered to vote for the 2022 general election.

The largest group of registered voters statewide is unaffiliated voters, followed by Democrats and then Republicans.

But the political makeup of the state is completely different from one county to another, and even within counties.

For this project, we chose to spotlight Randolph and Robeson counties because they lean Republican. In the past two presidential elections, both counties preferred the Republican nominee. In U.S. Senate races, voters in Robeson preferred the Democratic nominee in 2014 (Kay Hagan) but opted for the Republican nominees in 2016 (Richard Burr) and 2020 (Thom Tillis).

We chose Durham and Mecklenburg counties because they lean Democratic. Voters there have opted for the Democratic nominee in the past two presidential elections and the past three U.S. Senate races in the state.

Nash and Scotland represent the purple counties, where voters often switch party choice across different races and years.

Voters statewide

Here’s a breakdown of statewide numbers:

  • 33.72% of registered voters are Democrats, 30.01% are Republicans and 35.59% are unaffiliated
  • 20.34% of registered voters are Black, 65.07% are white and 0.74% are American Indian. Asian American voters are a growing population, too.
  • 3.56% of registered voters are Hispanic or Latino.
  • The state’s population grew by 9.5% between 2010 and 2020

  • 49.83% voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and 46.17% voted for Hilary Clinton
  • 49.93% voted for Trump in 2020 and 48.59% voted for Joe Biden
  • Durham County: 291,566 registered to vote

    • 53.52% are Democrats, 10.26% are Republicans and 35.70% are unaffiliated
    • 31.71% are Black, 48.10% are white and 0.25% are American Indian

    • 4.55% are Hispanic or Latino
    • The county’s population grew by 21.4% between 2010 and 2020
    • 18.16% voted for Trump in 2016 and 77.66% for Clinton

    • 18.04% voted for Trump in 2020 and 80.42% voted for Biden

    Mecklenburg County: 923,107 registered to vote

  • 42.10% are Democrats, 20.28% are Republicans and 36.84% are unaffiliated
  • 30.96% are Black, 51.60% are white and 0.27% are American Indian
  • 5.39% are Hispanic or Latino
  • The county’s population grew 21.3% between 2010 and 2020

  • 32.89% voted for Trump in 2016 and 62.29% for Clinton
  • 31.6% voted for Trump in 2020 and 66.68% voted for Biden
  • Nash County: 80,598 registered to vote

  • 43.69% are Democrats, 28.71% are Republicans and 27.16% are unaffiliated
  • 39.19% are Black, 50.65% are white and 0.50% are American Indian
  • 2.42% are Hispanic or Latino
  • The county’s population grew by 0.9% between 2010 and 2020

  • 48.92% voted for Trump in 2016 and 48.75% for Clinton
  • 49.41% voted for Trump in 2020 and 49.64% voted for Biden
  • Randolph County: 109,831 registered to vote

  • 16.53% are Democrats, 51.97% are Republicans and 30.88% are unaffiliated
  • 6.25% are Black, 82.31% are white and 0.33% are American Indian
  • 3.66% are Hispanic or Latino
  • The county’s population grew by 1.7% between 2010 and 2020
  • 76.55% voted for Trump in 2016 and 20.43% for Clinton
  • 77.60% voted for Trump in 2020 and 21.30% voted for Biden
  • Robeson County: 87,998 registered to vote

  • 50.63% are Democrats, 17.97% are Republicans and 31.10% are unaffiliated
  • 26.27% are Black, 28.25% are white and 34.57% are American Indian.
  • 2.77% are Hispanic or Latino
  • The county’s population shrank by 13.1% between 2010 and 2020

  • 50.82% voted for Trump in 2016 and 46.54% for Clinton
  • 58.93% voted for Trump in 2020 and 40.31% voted for Biden
  • Scotland County: 25,357 registered to vote

  • 47.94% are Democrats, 20.63% are Republicans and 31.07% are unaffiliated
  • 37.81% are Black, 45.25% are white and 7.75% are American Indian.
  • 0.93% are Hispanic or Latino
  • The county’s population shrank by 5.5% between 2010 and 2020

  • 44.92% voted for Trump in 2016 and 52.55% for Clinton
  • 50.58% voted for Trump in 2020 and 48.64% voted for Biden
  • BEHIND THE STORY

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    Notes on our methods

  • Percentages have been rounded to the nearest hundredths place.
  • We used the summarized statistics provided by the North Carolina State Board of Elections for our analysis.
  • We also did a deeper look into the the data using the NCSBE voter registration database (as of October 29, 2022). Take a look at the analysis that fed these numbers in the ‘stats-by-specifics-counties-nc’ GitHub project.
  • This story was originally published November 4, 2022 at 6:00 AM.

    Luciana Perez Uribe Guinassi
    The News & Observer
    Luciana Perez Uribe Guinassi is a politics reporter for the News & Observer. She reports on health care, including mental health and Medicaid expansion, hurricane recovery efforts and lobbying. Luciana previously worked as a Roy W. Howard Fellow at Searchlight New Mexico, an investigative news organization.
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